Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.123233 0.136067 0.149223 0.163688 0.179118 0.195055 0.212734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.106177 0.125959 0.147230 0.171671 0.198850 0.228019 0.261563
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.089611 0.113514 0.140339 0.172360 0.209230 0.250049 0.298348
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.074772 0.100836 0.131281 0.168903 0.213572 0.264364 0.325919
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.067802 0.096374 0.130872 0.174703 0.228012 0.289883 0.366232
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061375 0.091703 0.129472 0.178691 0.239855 0.312134 0.402729
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055396 0.086877 0.127260 0.181147 0.249451 0.331491 0.435764
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049642 0.081709 0.124058 0.181874 0.256541 0.347596 0.464823
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048960 0.083365 0.129728 0.194015 0.278087 0.381648 0.516106
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045052 0.080046 0.128399 0.196730 0.287452 0.400556 0.548879
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042001 0.077670 0.128113 0.200644 0.298262 0.421272 0.584015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038036 0.073545 0.125061 0.200537 0.303605 0.434962 0.610361
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036803 0.073757 0.128471 0.209812 0.322144 0.466551 0.660735
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035617 0.073974 0.131911 0.219278 0.341243 0.499331 0.713332
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032286 0.070348 0.129386 0.220084 0.348472 0.516653 0.746249
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028119 0.064869 0.123675 0.215967 0.348692 0.524624 0.767070
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026859 0.064332 0.125518 0.222859 0.364244 0.553044 0.814741
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025240 0.062979 0.125951 0.227593 0.376774 0.577525 0.857474
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.023394 0.061009 0.125243 0.230507 0.386690 0.598539 0.895802
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021328 0.058388 0.123283 0.231368 0.393586 0.615461 0.928807
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021841 0.060916 0.129991 0.245739 0.420199 0.659552 0.998387
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020378 0.059291 0.129572 0.248946 0.430580 0.681473 1.038505
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019258 0.058257 0.130081 0.253567 0.443043 0.706346 1.082765